Quite increase in New York cotton futures

Plexus Cotton Limited reports that NY futures have moved considerably lower since our last report on November 17, with March dropping 518 points to close at 91.30 cents.

The bearish wave, which has been gathering momentum in recent weeks, became potent enough to breach the "Chinese Wall" of support, taking prices to new 14-month lows. The move was all the more impressive since it happened in the face of very strong US export sales, totaling more than 2.5 million statistical bales over a 3-week period. But as the old saying goes - "it's not the news itself that matters, but how the market reacts to the news"!

Interestingly, it was the speculators that were responsible for the selling, as they either bailed out of long positions or added new shorts in reaction to a technical breakdown in cotton and all the uncertainty surrounding the sovereign debt crisis. In the week of November 22, during which the market dropped 10 cents in just three days, large and small speculators sold 11'386 contracts net, while the trade (+10'707 contracts) and index funds (+679 contracts) were net buyers.

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